Monday, June 19, 2017

The Key to the City

A NUN, A CELEBRATION, AND A KEY


     There are times that restore your faith in humanity, places where you always feel welcome and people of all persuasions manage to act as family, and there are people that manage to brighten the room and leave you feeling fuller just by being in their presence.  Sister Janice Rospert is one such person and has done an amazing job to help make Beckley, WV such a place, and the celebration of her departure for Ohio yesterday was such a time.

     Sister Janice's unique influence was brought to my attention when I was a freshman in college.  As young couples are wont to do, Monette and I had many deep discussions about our upbringing and experiences when we first started dating over 22 years ago.  A recurring theme was her respect and admiration for Sister Janice, who she knew through her church and schooling, and that she considered her one of her biggest role models.  Her impact was so great, along with Monette's Aunt Pat, who is also a nun, that Monette at one point considered that path for herself.  I apologize, Sister, but I'm selfishly glad that she didn't follow in that direction!  Even so, Sister Janice's teachings, guidance, and attitude toward life has helped guide Monette throughout her life and I will be forever appreciative of that.

     "You've GOT to meet Sister Janice!  She's one of the best people I know."  Monette would often tell me.  And, she was, as usual, right.  I remember that we met with her in her living room the first time that I had that pleasure.  The first thing that was evident was that the respect was mutual.  You can usually tell when someone is genuine, and Sister Janice was genuinely delighted to visit with Monette and respected her as much as Monette respected Sister Janice.  Secondly, I found myself perfectly comfortable to sit and chat with her about life over tea and cookies, sharing many laughs, and it felt like we had long been friends by the time we left.  I didn't grow up Catholic, so I likely had an unfair stereotype of a nun before the encounter, but she dispelled much of that within seconds.  Sister Janice even gave us the great honor of being a part of our wedding, another instance for which we will always be grateful.  As I've come to realize since, she has this genuine appreciation and way of touching everyone she encounters.

     I have had the pleasure of meeting countless people of various walks of life through the years and can truly say that Sister Janice is one of a kind.  She lives a life of selflessness and gratuity, generosity and sincerity, compassion and empathy.  People feel comfortable coming to her to grieve, to laugh, or for counsel.  All the while, she is uniquely human and a delight to just have a conversation with.  Yes, she is a nun and what she has done for the Church I can't even put into words.  But, even so, her gifts and reach go well beyond the confines of the Church.

     So, when we heard that Sister Janice was leaving Beckley to head back to Ohio with her family and the church was having a celebration for her, we cleared our schedule to make sure we could be there.  She joked that when she left to come to Beckley only 12 people showed up to say goodbye.  Well, yesterday they held a luncheon in a gymnasium and still underestimated the numbers that would come out.  The space was standing room only.  It was truly emotional to see the enormous impact that one quiet and humble nun that has never sought out adulations can make on a community.  This point became even more clear when the Mayor showed up to bestow upon her the honor of receiving the key to the city!  Mind you, this isn't a sports star; this isn't a politician often in the limelight; or is it a famous actor or comedian as you usually see given this kind of award.  But, there has never been anyone more deserving of the honor.  To our amazement, when she was asked to speak she asked for forgiveness.  Forgiveness for times when she couldn't be there for someone, spoke in anger (which no one has ever heard as far as I know), or didn't say the right thing to console the grieving.  Then, she held up a sign she had made to tell everyone that she loved them.

     Anyone who has met Sister Janice knows that, when you leave her presence, you feel better about yourself and/or your situation, and have a more positive outlook on life.  She does this effortlessly because it is from the heart and she is always 100% real.  I knew what she meant to Monette, and how much I thought of her.  But, to see the raw emotion of people young and old, of countless nationalities and persuasions, and how this one special person's genuine selfless life has impacted so many, one person at a time, was more than inspiring.  Never one to seek accolades or recognition, it was great to witness a community realizing that Sister Janice deserved just that more than anyone.  I came away, as is always the case when talking with her, with the desire to do more.  The true meaning of life is to try to leave the world a better place than when you arrived, in whatever way you can, however small that may seem.  Thank you, Sister Janice, for reminding me of that and for everything you have done for myself, Monette, and everyone else you have reached.  The community that you're moving to in Ohio doesn't know how lucky they are to have you moving in.


Tuesday, June 6, 2017

In defense of the Paris Agreement and rebuttal to the free-market argument



In defense of the Paris Agreement and a rebuttal to the free-market argument



In the aftermath of our President’s decision to remove the US from the Paris Agreement, I continue to see many people trying to justify pulling out with poor information or understanding of the accord, jumping on a ‘free-market’ bandwagon, or plain denial of the relevance.  Let me try to break down a few points for you to ponder.

·         Let’s start by tackling the accord and the accompanying agreements surrounding it to clear up a few things.  First, don’t just listen to talking points, educate yourself.  Here is the link to the actual Paris Agreement from the United Nations website. (http://unfccc.int/paris_agreement/items/9485.php).  As I mentioned in one of my posts, the whole stated mission is to set overtly ambitious goals.  So those that say that the terms were too strict don't understand the concept behind the agreement. Athletes and scientists alike know that to get the biggest effect you set targets, some of which should seem out of reach. If you don't reach the top target you get a great way toward it, but those that are focused with tunnel vision often can reach what was once thought impossible. Also, the data saying those targets can't be reached, by necessity, take into account current situations and can't anticipate advances in technology. We have seen countless times that humans can achieve amazing things when given the opportunity - just look at the human genome project and the advances that have come from it and various vaccines and medications developed on short order. But, we can’t achieve these goals with deregulations and decreases in funding for scientific research.  Per usual, Trump’s speech on the subject was filled with inaccuracies and purposely misleading statements.  We need to be urged to look at facts.  (https://www.apnews.com/079e907d81d14e7ca56eb5279f285f71/AP-FACT-CHECK:-Attack-draws-visceral-Trump-tweets,-not-facts?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=AP_Politics)


   Here's the most prevalent statement I hear:  It wasn’t a fair deal for the Americans.  The Chinese didn’t put anything into it and neither did India or Russia.  Let’s break this down: 


I’ve even seen the attached ridiculous meme going around:


First, this shows that people don’t even bother to try to understand or find their own facts.  Please, read the actual agreement between the United States and China in regards to their efforts on climate change and in regards to the funds:  https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/09/25/us-china-joint-presidential-statement-climate-change. 

Especially, look at #15 on the list. 

The reason China doesn’t contribute to the Green Climate Fund is because they agreed to put 20 billion Yen ($3.1 billion) to set up the South-South Climate Cooperation Fund to give specific help to the region of the world that is currently the worst polluter in a bilateral deal with the US as they pledged toward the GCF.  Yes, you read that right, they actually have committed MORE money than the US toward a climate fund in cooperation with the US.  On top of this, China has invested the most money by far of any other nation in sustainable energy efforts.

So, what about India?  India has been mired in a very major financial crisis.  But, even still, they have committed to and invested in strong efforts to curb their emissions; and they released a statement last week saying they would continue to do so with or without help from other countries because they realize how important an issue it is.  (http://www.worldwatch.org/node/6278)

And, Russia?  Is it really a surprise that Trump wants to join Putin as not contributing to the deal?

Also, for all of those pointing the finger at China for being the biggest polluter.  Look deeper at the numbers:  The United States has emitted the greatest amount of CO2 of anyone in history, still ahead of China and well over 20% of the total amount.  In addition, while China is the biggest polluter in absolute terms currently (but now actively making progress toward curbing it), put this in perspective: US emits 16.4 metric tons of CO2 per person whereas China emits only 7.5 metric tons of CO2 per person.  That should really put our excess in perspective.
Per person carbon production and consumption
[Data Source: Kuishuang Feng & Klaus Hubacek, University of Maryland.]











 Or, how about we break the Green Climate Fund down into dollars per person as people seem to think it unfair what the US had pledged to put into the fund.

Source: http://www.greenclimate.fund/partners/contributors/resources-mobilized (By the way, you can track the progress of the fund here as well)


So, why is it unfair that the US should do its part to clean things up and make the world habitable for our grandchildren?


   Next, let's continue on this tack and talk about the idea that the Paris Agreement was all about economics and that we can do more good without being in the accord:

The obvious issue with this, to begin with, is the selfish and centrist attitude it takes to even make this argument.  But, I’ll break down some of the facts in addition to what I’ve stated above already.  The goal is to try to reduce CO2 emissions and clean up the atmosphere for our ultimate healthy survival.  Yes, the data is clear and you have to try hard to believe the arguments against climate change over the overwhelming majority of evidence for it.  I will put something together to break down all of the arguments for climate change in time, but that is a long task and I need to find more hours in the day to finish that soon.  For now, just know that the temperatures are easily measured, are rising quickly, and for the first time in history doing so in a manner not able to be predicted by nature alone.  The difference does, however, correlate with CO2 emissions.  I know some want to dispute this, but I will address that in a different blog.  For now, just look at this for one easy to follow, graphical reference:  https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-whats-warming-the-world/This agreement was a tremendous accomplishment to build cooperation to combat this pressing issue.  But, even if you don't believe in climate change, the result would be a healthier and safer environment in any case.


I know some people have this ‘America-First’ mentality right now, but this is much more than an America-only problem.  This is a world-wide issue and to curb the problem to the extent that is needed we need a world-wide effort.  Having American support and involvement helped bring many countries on board to the Paris Agreement because of the leadership and validity it brought to the solution.  Most have heard about the 2 degree limit that we’re trying to avoid, but most don’t understand what that means.  First, we are already over halfway to that target!  (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/2-degrees-celsius-un-report_us_58296d8be4b060adb56f0ca9)  That should put it into a little bit more of a perspective.  Secondly, people continue to cite, as the president did, that the Paris Agreement would only make about a 0.17 degree difference insinuating that it’s not worth the trouble.  That is actually substantial, however, and he also didn’t understand how that number was derived.  He cited an MIT study, but the study actually said that the difference is what would be expected from going from the original Kyoto Protocol to the Paris Agreement in an effort to make a bigger impact with more of the world involved.  The author of the study actually released a statement saying that he completely disagreed with Trump’s analysis that that rise wasn’t a big deal and went on to say that without an agreement in place the rise would be on the order of 1 degree Celcius by 2100 - that’s not that far away.  (http://news.mit.edu/2017/mit-issues-statement-research-paris-agreement-0602).  In other words, it was essential to get buy-in from nations across the world; the all-inclusive climate agreements are essential!  

People also argue that the agreement was useless because it didn’t hold countries accountable.  Will some countries fail to uphold their end of the bargain?  Yeah, probably.  However, the overall effect with all but two small countries in the pact is much better than not having the agreement, but it also goes well beyond that.  This deal is akin to going to a fruit stand where you pay on the honor system - except with other people looking over you and checking your wallet every few visits (the Paris agreement included five year checks) and publicly releasing what you took and what you've paid.  Some will try to cheat the system, but most will abide by the code, achieving an overall net positive.  And, there is absolutely no harm to the environment from the Paris agreement, contrary to the ludicrous statement to that effect that some try to claim.


   But, you say, having a better free market will solve problems faster than with governmental regulations, and without having to kill jobs.  Many people have jumped on this after reading this article: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/31/trump-paris-accord-exit-is-good-for-the-environment-commentary.html.

That sounds good and all, but this falls in line with the previous argument and doesn’t hold up to the facts.  As mentioned above, for one, we need a world-wide effort, not just US-based.  Interestingly, in an effort to correlate why the deal wouldn't work, this article compares the Paris deal to OPEC saying that it wouldn’t work if not enforceable.  There are problems with this argument.  I’m actually not a big fan of OPEC, but it worked as intended for a long time.  What has led to issues, though, is that increased oil prices led to innovation that dropped the cost of extraction and led to an oversupply.  If that were the case for Climate Change, this innovation would be a GOOD thing and is one of the major goals of the agreement.  In addition, guess who is the one causing the most problems for OPEC?  The US, of course, as they refuse to follow OPEC’s recommendation to reduce their production (http://money.cnn.com/2017/05/11/investing/opec-oil-u-s-supply/index.html).  But, as I said, greater innovation would be a good thing in regards to the Paris agreement and, as the MIT research, in addition to others, showed, we would get much closer to the goal even if some of the countries did not pull their weight.


   Another major argument from this article is that the US would make a bigger effect by fixing up it’s own mess in house. 

While that would be nice, and we certainly have areas that we can address, sadly this wouldn’t do nearly enough.  And, while I’m a fan of free-market enterprise and drivers, that argument doesn’t cut it here.  Yes, market drivers have helped lead to advances in more fuel efficient cars and is partially why solar panels have come down in price.  But, the big assumption here is that there would be a market driver to continue to reduce CO2 emissions and the efforts we make in the US will make a difference world-wide.  What is that free-market driver?  Oil prices are now low.  And, while the article states that innovation led to advances in solar panels, it was largely due to a push for clean energy and government funded research and innovation.  (https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2014/04/24/innovation-government-was-crucial-after-all/) and (http://innovationreform.org/issues/indispensable-r-d/)  Trump has made it known that he wants to increase coal mining and is cutting regulations for the coal industry while proposing major reductions in funding for energy innovation programs.  Hence, he’s pushing the market driver in the OPPOSITE direction!  The only way the market-driver theory works is if there is an actual driver.  Trump is killing those drivers with his moves.

In addition, this idea is directly opposed by those actually in the business such as Elon Musk, Exxon, and Conoco Phillips, and as ‘25 major U.S. companies — including Apple, Facebook, Mars Incorporated and Morgan Stanley stated when they published a full-page letter in several newspapers that read: “By expanding markets for innovative clean technologies, the agreement generates jobs and economic growth. U.S. companies are well positioned to lead in these markets. Withdrawing from the agreement will limit our access to them and could expose us to retaliatory measures.” (https://techcrunch.com/2017/06/02/why-pulling-out-of-paris-accords-damages-americas-economic-future/).’  I’ve actually heard people say that people like Musk are whining b/c they have gotten so much in subsidies.  But, that would then mean that the government funding was working.


   These regulations only kill jobs?

This is what some want you to believe, but the evidence doesn’t back that up.  Coglianese and Carrigan show evidence that regulation plays little role in the number of jobs in the US in their book, “Does Regulation Kill Jobs”, and a major study by famed economist Richard Morgenstern showed that, on average, $1 million in regulation induced spending led to a net total of 1.5 jobs lost.  Some like to cite another MIT study that showed that the Clean Air Act resulted in a loss of 590,000 jobs.  But, the author, Michael Greenstone, said himself that the law didn’t have much of an impact on total employment in the industry as he didn’t explore if the act actually created jobs or if those that lost jobs found new positions in this cited work.  The best option, in my opinion, is to invest in ways to educate miners, coal workers, and others that are out of jobs to work in advancing industries.

But, let me finish with a bit of optimism.  I agree that it looks like the damage may be mitigated, but this is in SPITE of Trump, not because of him.  Other countries have agreed to continue, if not accelerate, their focus on meeting their climate goals.  In addition, many city leaders and innovators in the United States have agreed to bunk Trump’s agenda and continue to strive toward the Paris agreement’s goals even if we're out as a country.  So, in that respect, we are selfishly saving money and may be okay, but it wouldn’t have happened without the climate agreements and the US’s help in bringing the world together toward that effort in the first place.  We will eventually be back as a world leader.  In the meantime, let’s hope other countries don’t follow Trump’s lead and, as individuals, let's be diligent to know the facts and do our part, however small that may seem.